Lone Star Cane PoleNever guaranteed. Always honest.
Glossary · My catch log

7-day bite outlook · Saturday, November 14

Lake Tawakoni

New here? How to use this page (30 seconds)
  1. Pick your lake above. The site remembers it next time.
  2. "Right now" shows the barometer, water temperature, lake level and moon at that lake this minute.
  3. "The week ahead" is the bite outlook: one row per fish, one column per day. Green is Good, gold is Fair, red is Tough. Shaded columns have a cold front.
  4. Tap any rating to see every reason behind it, the best hours that day, and a pack list for that trip.
  5. "Today on the water" below has the Daily Bite Report and the latest Texas news on these three fish, each linked to its source.

Ratings are an honest read of conditions — never a guarantee. The Scorecard shows how often they've been right.

Right now

Barometer30.13″ 1020.3 mb · Falling (-1.4 mb/3 hr)
Water temp62°F Estimated (±5°F) · Estimated from 14 days of air temperatures
Lake level 87.4% -3.09 ft vs. full pool · -0.19 ft this week · TWDB
Sun & moon6:51am–5:24pm Waxing crescent · 25% lit

The week ahead

Each lane is one fish. Tap a day for the reasons behind the rating. The line on top is the barometer forecast; shaded days have a cold front.

TodayNov 14
SunNov 15
MonNov 16
TueNov 17
WedNov 18
ThuNov 19
FriNov 20
Weather
59° / 53°
E 14 mph
30.14″ · 92% rain
49° / 46°
E 15 mph
30.25″ · 100% rain
58° / 46°
NE 7 mph
30.41″ · 4% rain
60° / 46°
E 6 mph
30.40″ · 0% rain
65° / 48°
ESE 6 mph
30.25″ · 6% rain
69° / 57°
SE 8 mph
30.21″ · 20% rain
71° / 59°
SE 9 mph
30.17″ · 14% rain
Baro
1034 mb1017 mb
Crappie
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read
Bluegill
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read
Blue catfish
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read

Crappie · Saturday, Nov 14

Good Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~62°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 3:12am–5:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:21am–8:21am Sunrise low light · 11:04am–12:04pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:36pm–5:36pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:54pm–5:54pm Evening low light · 9:11pm–10:11pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Mostly Cloudy — Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. East southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Saturday, Nov 14

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~62°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 3:12am–5:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:21am–8:21am Sunrise low light · 11:04am–12:04pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:36pm–5:36pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:54pm–5:54pm Evening low light · 9:11pm–10:11pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Mostly Cloudy — Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. East southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Saturday, Nov 14

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Steady 14 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
  • Water ~62°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 3:12am–5:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:21am–8:21am Sunrise low light · 11:04am–12:04pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:36pm–5:36pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:54pm–5:54pm Evening low light · 9:11pm–10:11pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Mostly Cloudy — Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. East southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Sunday, Nov 15

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Heavy rain muddies the water near creek inflows. Stay on clearer main-lake brush.
  • Water ~62°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 3:57am–5:57am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:22am–8:22am Sunrise low light · 11:40am–12:40pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:53pm–5:53pm Evening low light · 4:22pm–6:22pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:09pm–11:09pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Rain Showers — Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 49. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Sunday, Nov 15

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Rain likely. Plan around lightning — get off the water when you hear thunder.
  • Water ~62°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 3:57am–5:57am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:22am–8:22am Sunrise low light · 11:40am–12:40pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:53pm–5:53pm Evening low light · 4:22pm–6:22pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:09pm–11:09pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Rain Showers — Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 49. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Sunday, Nov 15

Good Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Steady 15 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
  • Heavy rain brings fresh, stained inflow and current. Blue cats move to the mouths of creeks and feed.
  • Water ~62°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 3:57am–5:57am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:22am–8:22am Sunrise low light · 11:40am–12:40pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:53pm–5:53pm Evening low light · 4:22pm–6:22pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:09pm–11:09pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Rain Showers — Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 49. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Monday, Nov 16

Good Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~60°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 4:42am–6:42am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:23am–8:23am Sunrise low light · 12:11pm–1:11pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:53pm–5:53pm Evening low light · 5:06pm–7:06pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:07pm–12:07am Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny — A chance of rain showers before noon. Partly sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. East northeast wind 0 to 10 mph.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Monday, Nov 16

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~60°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 4:42am–6:42am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:23am–8:23am Sunrise low light · 12:11pm–1:11pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:53pm–5:53pm Evening low light · 5:06pm–7:06pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:07pm–12:07am Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny — A chance of rain showers before noon. Partly sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. East northeast wind 0 to 10 mph.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Monday, Nov 16

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Water ~60°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 4:42am–6:42am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:23am–8:23am Sunrise low light · 12:11pm–1:11pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:53pm–5:53pm Evening low light · 5:06pm–7:06pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:07pm–12:07am Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny — A chance of rain showers before noon. Partly sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. East northeast wind 0 to 10 mph.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Tuesday, Nov 17

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Water ~60°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 5:27am–7:27am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:24am–8:24am Sunrise low light · 12:40pm–1:40pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:52pm–5:52pm Evening low light · 5:49pm–7:49pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 64. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Tuesday, Nov 17

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Water ~60°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 5:27am–7:27am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:24am–8:24am Sunrise low light · 12:40pm–1:40pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 1:00pm–4:30pm Warmest part of a cool day · 3:52pm–5:52pm Evening low light · 5:49pm–7:49pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 64. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Tuesday, Nov 17

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Water ~60°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 5:27am–7:27am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:24am–8:24am Sunrise low light · 12:40pm–1:40pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:52pm–5:52pm Evening low light · 5:49pm–7:49pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 64. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Wednesday, Nov 18

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Water ~59°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 12:05am–1:05am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:12am–8:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:25am–8:25am Sunrise low light · 1:07pm–2:07pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:52pm–5:52pm Evening low light · 6:31pm–8:31pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Wednesday, Nov 18

Tough Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Cool water (~59°F). Bluegill are slow; try sunny, protected coves in the afternoon.

Best windows: 12:05am–1:05am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:12am–8:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:25am–8:25am Sunrise low light · 1:00pm–4:30pm Warmest part of a cool day · 1:07pm–2:07pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:52pm–5:52pm Evening low light · 6:31pm–8:31pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Wednesday, Nov 18

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Water ~59°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 12:05am–1:05am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:12am–8:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:25am–8:25am Sunrise low light · 1:07pm–2:07pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:52pm–5:52pm Evening low light · 6:31pm–8:31pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Thursday, Nov 19

Good Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~59°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 1:04am–2:04am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:26am–8:26am Sunrise low light · 6:52am–8:52am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:34pm–2:34pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:51pm–5:51pm Evening low light · 7:15pm–9:15pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Slight Chance Rain Showers — A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Thursday, Nov 19

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Cool water (~59°F). Bluegill are slow; try sunny, protected coves in the afternoon.

Best windows: 1:04am–2:04am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:26am–8:26am Sunrise low light · 6:52am–8:52am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:00pm–4:30pm Warmest part of a cool day · 1:34pm–2:34pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:51pm–5:51pm Evening low light · 7:15pm–9:15pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Slight Chance Rain Showers — A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Thursday, Nov 19

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Water ~59°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 1:04am–2:04am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:26am–8:26am Sunrise low light · 6:52am–8:52am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:34pm–2:34pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:51pm–5:51pm Evening low light · 7:15pm–9:15pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Slight Chance Rain Showers — A slight chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Friday, Nov 20

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Water ~60°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 2:04am–3:04am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:27am–8:27am Sunrise low light · 7:37am–9:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 2:02pm–3:02pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:51pm–5:51pm Evening low light · 8:00pm–10:00pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Friday, Nov 20

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Water ~60°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 2:04am–3:04am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:27am–8:27am Sunrise low light · 7:37am–9:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:00pm–4:30pm Warmest part of a cool day · 2:02pm–3:02pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:51pm–5:51pm Evening low light · 8:00pm–10:00pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Friday, Nov 20

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Steady 9 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
  • Water ~60°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 2:04am–3:04am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:27am–8:27am Sunrise low light · 7:37am–9:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 2:02pm–3:02pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:51pm–5:51pm Evening low light · 8:00pm–10:00pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Today vs. the forecast

How often have our ratings been right? See the scorecard →

Today on the water

A fresh Daily Bite Report every morning, built from this site's own weather and lake readings, plus Texas news on these three fish — checked every hour, each story linked to the outlet that reported it and dated by when they published it.

Daily Bite Report · Saturday, Nov 14

Daily Bite Report for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026

  • Crappie: 8 of 27 waters rate Good. Best bets: Lake Tawakoni (Good), Lake Texoma (Good), Lake Fork (Good). Why: Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Bluegill: 5 of 27 waters rate Good. Best bets: Lewisville Lake (Good), Lake Palestine (Good), Choke Canyon Reservoir (Good). Why: Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Blue catfish: 12 of 27 waters rate Good. Best bets: Richland-Chambers Reservoir (Good), Lake Whitney (Good), Cedar Creek Reservoir (Good). Why: Barometer falling ahead of a front, usually with south wind and clouds — the day before a front is widely reported as an active bite.

Full report →

Latest from around Texas

News · Source published Nov 12, 2026

LHS Fishing Team has a strong finish at Lake Buchanan

Above, Members of the Lockhart High School Fishing team proudly display their catches from their recent competition. The Lockhart High School Fishing Team had plenty to celebrate after a successful weekend on Lake Buchanan.

Source: Lockhart Post Register

Buchanan

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Never guaranteed. Ratings weigh fronts, wind, rain, lake level, water temperature and season using published fisheries guidance. The science on the barometer itself is thin — fish respond to the whole weather change, not just the needle. Weather: National Weather Service; barometer forecast: Data from MET Norway; lake levels: TWDB; water temperature: USGS where measured. How ratings work