Lone Star Cane PoleNever guaranteed. Always honest.
Glossary · My catch log

7-day bite outlook · Saturday, November 14

Sam Rayburn Reservoir

New here? How to use this page (30 seconds)
  1. Pick your lake above. The site remembers it next time.
  2. "Right now" shows the barometer, water temperature, lake level and moon at that lake this minute.
  3. "The week ahead" is the bite outlook: one row per fish, one column per day. Green is Good, gold is Fair, red is Tough. Shaded columns have a cold front.
  4. Tap any rating to see every reason behind it, the best hours that day, and a pack list for that trip.
  5. "Today on the water" below has the Daily Bite Report and the latest Texas news on these three fish, each linked to its source.

Ratings are an honest read of conditions — never a guarantee. The Scorecard shows how often they've been right.

Right now

Barometer30.12″ 1020 mb · Falling (-1.7 mb/3 hr)
Water temp65°F Estimated (±5°F) · Estimated from 14 days of air temperatures
Lake level 60% -11.83 ft vs. full pool · -0.14 ft this week · TWDB
Sun & moon6:41am–5:20pm Waxing crescent · 25% lit

The week ahead

Each lane is one fish. Tap a day for the reasons behind the rating. The line on top is the barometer forecast; shaded days have a cold front.

TodayNov 14
SunNov 15
MonNov 16
TueNov 17
WedNov 18
ThuNov 19
FriNov 20
Weather
61° / 55°
E 10 mph
30.15″ · 24% rain
58° / 50°
E 13 mph
30.20″ · 97% rain
62° / 50°
NE 9 mph
30.35″ · 52% rain
61° / 51°
NE 7 mph
30.36″ · 1% rain
68° / 55°
E 7 mph
30.24″ · 2% rain
70° / 59°
ESE 7 mph
30.22″ · 5% rain
71° / 60°
ESE 7 mph
30.19″ · 5% rain
Baro
1031 mb1018 mb
Crappie
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read
Bluegill
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read
Blue catfish
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read

Crappie · Saturday, Nov 14

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~65°F. Crappie hold on brush and bridges at the depth with the most bait.

Best windows: 3:02am–5:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:11am–8:11am Sunrise low light · 10:52am–11:52am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:28pm–5:28pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:50pm–5:50pm Evening low light · 9:08pm–10:08pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Partly Sunny — Partly sunny, with a high near 65. East wind around 10 mph.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Saturday, Nov 14

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~65°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 3:02am–5:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:11am–8:11am Sunrise low light · 10:52am–11:52am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:28pm–5:28pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:50pm–5:50pm Evening low light · 9:08pm–10:08pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Partly Sunny — Partly sunny, with a high near 65. East wind around 10 mph.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Saturday, Nov 14

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Steady 10 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
  • Water ~65°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 3:02am–5:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:11am–8:11am Sunrise low light · 10:52am–11:52am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:28pm–5:28pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:50pm–5:50pm Evening low light · 9:08pm–10:08pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Partly Sunny — Partly sunny, with a high near 65. East wind around 10 mph.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Sunday, Nov 15

Tough Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Heavy rain muddies the water near creek inflows. Stay on clearer main-lake brush.
  • Water ~65°F. Crappie hold on brush and bridges at the depth with the most bait.

Best windows: 3:52am–5:52am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:12am–8:12am Sunrise low light · 11:29am–12:29pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:49pm–5:49pm Evening low light · 4:14pm–6:14pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:05pm–11:05pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Rain Showers — Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Sunday, Nov 15

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Rain likely. Plan around lightning — get off the water when you hear thunder.
  • Water ~65°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 3:52am–5:52am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:12am–8:12am Sunrise low light · 11:29am–12:29pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:49pm–5:49pm Evening low light · 4:14pm–6:14pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:05pm–11:05pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Rain Showers — Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Sunday, Nov 15

Good Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Steady 13 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
  • Heavy rain brings fresh, stained inflow and current. Blue cats move to the mouths of creeks and feed.
  • Water ~65°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 3:52am–5:52am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:12am–8:12am Sunrise low light · 11:29am–12:29pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:49pm–5:49pm Evening low light · 4:14pm–6:14pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:05pm–11:05pm Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Rain Showers — Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Monday, Nov 16

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Water ~64°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 4:37am–6:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 12:01pm–1:01pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:49pm–5:49pm Evening low light · 4:59pm–6:59pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:02pm–12:02am Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny — A chance of rain showers before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Monday, Nov 16

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Water ~64°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 4:37am–6:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 12:01pm–1:01pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:49pm–5:49pm Evening low light · 4:59pm–6:59pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:02pm–12:02am Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny — A chance of rain showers before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Monday, Nov 16

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Steady 9 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
  • Water ~64°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 4:37am–6:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 12:01pm–1:01pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:49pm–5:49pm Evening low light · 4:59pm–6:59pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:02pm–12:02am Solunar minor (moonset)

NWS: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny — A chance of rain showers before noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Tuesday, Nov 17

Good Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~63°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 5:22am–7:22am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:14am–8:14am Sunrise low light · 12:31pm–1:31pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 5:42pm–7:42pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Tuesday, Nov 17

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~63°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 5:22am–7:22am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:14am–8:14am Sunrise low light · 12:31pm–1:31pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 5:42pm–7:42pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Tuesday, Nov 17

Fair Forecast confidence: Decent

  • Water ~63°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 5:22am–7:22am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:14am–8:14am Sunrise low light · 12:31pm–1:31pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 5:42pm–7:42pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Wednesday, Nov 18

Good Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~63°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 11:59pm–12:59am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:02am–8:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:14am–8:14am Sunrise low light · 12:59pm–1:59pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 6:24pm–8:24pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. East wind around 5 mph.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Wednesday, Nov 18

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~63°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 11:59pm–12:59am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:02am–8:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:14am–8:14am Sunrise low light · 12:59pm–1:59pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 6:24pm–8:24pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. East wind around 5 mph.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Wednesday, Nov 18

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Water ~63°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 11:59pm–12:59am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:02am–8:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:14am–8:14am Sunrise low light · 12:59pm–1:59pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 6:24pm–8:24pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. East wind around 5 mph.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Thursday, Nov 19

Good Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~63°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 12:57am–1:57am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:15am–8:15am Sunrise low light · 6:47am–8:47am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:27pm–2:27pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 7:07pm–9:07pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Thursday, Nov 19

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~63°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 12:57am–1:57am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:15am–8:15am Sunrise low light · 6:47am–8:47am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:27pm–2:27pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 7:07pm–9:07pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Thursday, Nov 19

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Water ~63°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 12:57am–1:57am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:15am–8:15am Sunrise low light · 6:47am–8:47am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:27pm–2:27pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 7:07pm–9:07pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Crappie · Friday, Nov 20

Good Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~63°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.

Best windows: 1:56am–2:56am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:16am–8:16am Sunrise low light · 7:32am–9:32am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:56pm–2:56pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 7:53pm–9:53pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Bluegill · Friday, Nov 20

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Water ~63°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.

Best windows: 1:56am–2:56am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:16am–8:16am Sunrise low light · 7:32am–9:32am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:56pm–2:56pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 7:53pm–9:53pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Blue catfish · Friday, Nov 20

Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read

  • Water ~63°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.

Best windows: 1:56am–2:56am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:16am–8:16am Sunrise low light · 7:32am–9:32am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:56pm–2:56pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 7:53pm–9:53pm Solunar major (moon overhead)

NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day

Today vs. the forecast

No changes: today's ratings match what this outlook said in the days before. When a front comes early or the wind flips, the change shows here with the reason.

How often have our ratings been right? See the scorecard →

Today on the water

A fresh Daily Bite Report every morning, built from this site's own weather and lake readings, plus Texas news on these three fish — checked every hour, each story linked to the outlet that reported it and dated by when they published it.

Daily Bite Report · Saturday, Nov 14

Daily Bite Report for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026

  • Crappie: 8 of 27 waters rate Good. Best bets: Lake Tawakoni (Good), Lake Texoma (Good), Lake Fork (Good). Why: Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Bluegill: 5 of 27 waters rate Good. Best bets: Lewisville Lake (Good), Lake Palestine (Good), Choke Canyon Reservoir (Good). Why: Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
  • Blue catfish: 12 of 27 waters rate Good. Best bets: Richland-Chambers Reservoir (Good), Lake Whitney (Good), Cedar Creek Reservoir (Good). Why: Barometer falling ahead of a front, usually with south wind and clouds — the day before a front is widely reported as an active bite.

Full report →

News about Sam Rayburn

Latest from around Texas

News · Source published Nov 12, 2026

LHS Fishing Team has a strong finish at Lake Buchanan

Above, Members of the Lockhart High School Fishing team proudly display their catches from their recent competition. The Lockhart High School Fishing Team had plenty to celebrate after a successful weekend on Lake Buchanan.

Source: Lockhart Post Register

Buchanan

All news & reports

Sponsor · Home & local services

The Handiest Man™

Handyman & home repair — Huntsville to Austin, Hwy 105 to Hwy 290, into Austin and through Bastrop.

Serves: All of Texas · handiest-man.com

Lake page
Regs, depth charts, structure, stocking, advisories, reports Pack list
Gear and bait matched to the day Catch reports
What anglers are catching — and send yours

Never guaranteed. Ratings weigh fronts, wind, rain, lake level, water temperature and season using published fisheries guidance. The science on the barometer itself is thin — fish respond to the whole weather change, not just the needle. Weather: National Weather Service; barometer forecast: Data from MET Norway; lake levels: TWDB; water temperature: USGS where measured. How ratings work