Lake conditions · Source published Oct 22, 2026
Low water changes crappie patterns on Texas reservoirs
Source: Texas Fish & Game
7-day bite outlook · Friday, November 13
Toledo Bend Reservoir
New here? How to use this page (30 seconds)
- Pick your lake above. The site remembers it next time.
- "Right now" shows the barometer, water temperature, lake level and moon at that lake this minute.
- "The week ahead" is the bite outlook: one row per fish, one column per day. Green is Good, gold is Fair, red is Tough. Shaded columns have a cold front.
- Tap any rating to see every reason behind it, the best hours that day, and a pack list for that trip.
- "Today on the water" below has the Daily Bite Report and the latest Texas news on these three fish, each linked to its source.
Ratings are an honest read of conditions — never a guarantee. The Scorecard shows how often they've been right.
Right now
Barometer29.98″
1015.2 mb · Falling (-2.4 mb/3 hr)
Water temp67°F
Estimated (±5°F) · Estimated from 14 days of air temperatures
Lake level
84.1%
-4.33 ft vs. full pool · -0.08 ft this week · TWDB
Sun & moon6:38am–5:18pm
Waxing crescent · 20% lit
The week ahead
Each lane is one fish. Tap a day for the reasons behind the rating. The line on top is the barometer forecast; shaded days have a cold front.
TodayNov 13
SatNov 14
SunNov 15
MonNov 16
TueNov 17
WedNov 18
ThuNov 19
Weather
67° / 53°
NNE 7 mph
30.03″ · 0% rain
NNE 7 mph
30.03″ · 0% rain
61° / 46°
E 9 mph
30.16″ · 7% rain
E 9 mph
30.16″ · 7% rain
53° / 48°
ENE 13 mph
30.20″ · 84% rain
ENE 13 mph
30.20″ · 84% rain
57° / 48°
NE 9 mph
30.29″ · 45% rain
NE 9 mph
30.29″ · 45% rain
63° / 49°
NE 7 mph
30.28″ · 2% rain
NE 7 mph
30.28″ · 2% rain
71° / 56°
E 8 mph
30.18″ · 1% rain
E 8 mph
30.18″ · 1% rain
73° / 62°
SE 9 mph
30.11″ · 15% rain
SE 9 mph
30.11″ · 15% rain
Baro
Crappie
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read
Bluegill
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read
Blue catfish
Decent
Decent
Decent
Decent
Rough read
Rough read
Rough read
Crappie · Friday, Nov 13
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~67°F. Crappie hold on brush and bridges at the depth with the most bait.
Best windows: 2:12am–4:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:08am–8:08am Sunrise low light · 10:09am–11:09am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 2:37pm–4:37pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 8:09pm–9:09pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Sunny — Sunny. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. North wind around 5 mph.
Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Bluegill · Friday, Nov 13
Good Forecast confidence: Decent
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~67°F — comfortable for bluegill and they're feeding. In fall, midday fishing gets better.
Best windows: 2:12am–4:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:08am–8:08am Sunrise low light · 10:09am–11:09am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 2:37pm–4:37pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 8:09pm–9:09pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Sunny — Sunny. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. North wind around 5 mph.
Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Blue catfish · Friday, Nov 13
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Water ~67°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.
Best windows: 2:12am–4:12am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:08am–8:08am Sunrise low light · 10:09am–11:09am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 2:37pm–4:37pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:48pm–5:48pm Evening low light · 8:09pm–9:09pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Sunny — Sunny. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. North wind around 5 mph.
Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Crappie · Saturday, Nov 14
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Water ~67°F. Crappie hold on brush and bridges at the depth with the most bait.
Best windows: 3:02am–5:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:09am–8:09am Sunrise low light · 10:50am–11:50am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:26pm–5:26pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 9:06pm–10:06pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Bluegill · Saturday, Nov 14
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Water ~67°F — comfortable for bluegill and they're feeding. In fall, midday fishing gets better.
Best windows: 3:02am–5:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:09am–8:09am Sunrise low light · 10:50am–11:50am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:26pm–5:26pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 9:06pm–10:06pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Blue catfish · Saturday, Nov 14
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Steady 9 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
- Water ~67°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.
Best windows: 3:02am–5:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:09am–8:09am Sunrise low light · 10:50am–11:50am Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:26pm–5:26pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 9:06pm–10:06pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Crappie · Sunday, Nov 15
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Heavy rain muddies the water near creek inflows. Stay on clearer main-lake brush.
- Water ~65°F. Crappie hold on brush and bridges at the depth with the most bait.
Best windows: 3:47am–5:47am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:10am–8:10am Sunrise low light · 11:27am–12:27pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 4:12pm–6:12pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:03pm–11:03pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Light Rain Likely — Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Bluegill · Sunday, Nov 15
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Rain likely. Plan around lightning — get off the water when you hear thunder.
- Water ~65°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.
Best windows: 3:47am–5:47am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:10am–8:10am Sunrise low light · 11:27am–12:27pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 4:12pm–6:12pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:03pm–11:03pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Light Rain Likely — Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Blue catfish · Sunday, Nov 15
Good Forecast confidence: Decent
- Steady 13 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
- Heavy rain brings fresh, stained inflow and current. Blue cats move to the mouths of creeks and feed.
- Water ~65°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.
Best windows: 3:47am–5:47am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:10am–8:10am Sunrise low light · 11:27am–12:27pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:47pm–5:47pm Evening low light · 4:12pm–6:12pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 10:03pm–11:03pm Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Light Rain Likely — Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Crappie · Monday, Nov 16
Good Forecast confidence: Decent
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~64°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.
Best windows: 4:37am–6:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:11am–8:11am Sunrise low light · 11:59am–12:59pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:46pm–5:46pm Evening low light · 4:56pm–6:56pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:00pm–12:00am Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Chance Light Rain — A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Bluegill · Monday, Nov 16
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~64°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.
Best windows: 4:37am–6:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:11am–8:11am Sunrise low light · 11:59am–12:59pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:46pm–5:46pm Evening low light · 4:56pm–6:56pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:00pm–12:00am Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Chance Light Rain — A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Blue catfish · Monday, Nov 16
Fair Forecast confidence: Decent
- Steady 9 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
- Water ~64°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.
Best windows: 4:37am–6:37am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:11am–8:11am Sunrise low light · 11:59am–12:59pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:46pm–5:46pm Evening low light · 4:56pm–6:56pm Solunar major (moon overhead) · 11:00pm–12:00am Solunar minor (moonset)
NWS: Chance Light Rain — A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Crappie · Tuesday, Nov 17
Good Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~63°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.
Best windows: 5:17am–7:17am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:12am–8:12am Sunrise low light · 12:29pm–1:29pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:46pm–5:46pm Evening low light · 5:39pm–7:39pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Bluegill · Tuesday, Nov 17
Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~63°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.
Best windows: 5:17am–7:17am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:12am–8:12am Sunrise low light · 12:29pm–1:29pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:46pm–5:46pm Evening low light · 5:39pm–7:39pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Blue catfish · Tuesday, Nov 17
Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Water ~63°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.
Best windows: 5:17am–7:17am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:12am–8:12am Sunrise low light · 12:29pm–1:29pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:46pm–5:46pm Evening low light · 5:39pm–7:39pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Sunny — Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Crappie · Wednesday, Nov 18
Good Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~63°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.
Best windows: 11:57pm–12:57am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:02am–8:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 12:57pm–1:57pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:45pm–5:45pm Evening low light · 6:22pm–8:22pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Bluegill · Wednesday, Nov 18
Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~63°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.
Best windows: 11:57pm–12:57am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:02am–8:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 12:57pm–1:57pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:45pm–5:45pm Evening low light · 6:22pm–8:22pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Blue catfish · Wednesday, Nov 18
Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Water ~63°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.
Best windows: 11:57pm–12:57am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:02am–8:02am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 12:57pm–1:57pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:45pm–5:45pm Evening low light · 6:22pm–8:22pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Mostly Sunny — Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Crappie · Thursday, Nov 19
Good Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~63°F — comfortable range; crappie feed actively around brush and docks.
Best windows: 12:54am–1:54am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 6:42am–8:42am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:24pm–2:24pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:45pm–5:45pm Evening low light · 7:05pm–9:05pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers — A slight chance of rain showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Where Crappie are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Bluegill · Thursday, Nov 19
Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Water ~63°F. Bluegill feeding and moving shallower.
Best windows: 12:54am–1:54am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 6:42am–8:42am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:24pm–2:24pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:45pm–5:45pm Evening low light · 7:05pm–9:05pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers — A slight chance of rain showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Where Bluegill are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Blue catfish · Thursday, Nov 19
Fair Forecast confidence: Rough read
- Steady 9 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
- Water ~63°F. Blue cats roam with the shad schools.
Best windows: 12:54am–1:54am Solunar minor (moonset) · 6:13am–8:13am Sunrise low light · 6:42am–8:42am Solunar major (moon underfoot) · 1:24pm–2:24pm Solunar minor (moonrise) · 3:45pm–5:45pm Evening low light · 7:05pm–9:05pm Solunar major (moon overhead)
NWS: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers — A slight chance of rain showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Where Blue catfish are this time of year → · Build a pack list for this day
Today vs. the forecast
No changes: today's ratings match what this outlook said in the days before. When a front comes early or the wind flips, the change shows here with the reason.
How often have our ratings been right? See the scorecard →
Today on the water
A fresh Daily Bite Report every morning, built from this site's own weather and lake readings, plus Texas news on these three fish — checked every hour, each story linked to the outlet that reported it and dated by when they published it.
Daily Bite Report · Friday, Nov 13
Daily Bite Report for Friday, Nov 13, 2026
- Crappie: 5 of 27 waters rate Good. Best bets: Lake Tawakoni (Good), Lake Texoma (Good), Lake O' the Pines (Good). Why: Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Bluegill: 6 of 27 waters rate Good. Best bets: Lake Ray Hubbard (Good), Lavon Lake (Good), Toledo Bend Reservoir (Good). Why: Stable weather — the barometer barely moves today. Steady conditions let fish settle into a pattern.
- Blue catfish: No water rates Good today. Best of the rest: Lake Tawakoni (Fair), Lake Texoma (Fair), Cedar Creek Reservoir (Fair). Why: Steady 9 mph wind pushes shad onto windward banks and points — blue cats follow the bait.
News about Toledo Bend
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LHS Fishing Team has a strong finish at Lake Buchanan
Above, Members of the Lockhart High School Fishing team proudly display their catches from their recent competition. The Lockhart High School Fishing Team had plenty to celebrate after a successful weekend on Lake Buchanan.
Source: Lockhart Post Register
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Only Locals Seem To Know These 6 Quiet Texas Lakeside Fish Camps Serving Fried Catfish
Some of the best fried catfish in Texas comes from places with a bait shop next door and a boat ramp out back. These lakeside fish camps sit on quiet water from Caddo Lake to Moses Lake, and most of them feed anglers long before tourists show up.
Source: Fast Food Club
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Regs, depth charts, structure, stocking, advisories, reports Pack list
Gear and bait matched to the day Catch reports
What anglers are catching — and send yours
Never guaranteed. Ratings weigh fronts, wind, rain, lake level, water temperature and season using published fisheries guidance. The science on the barometer itself is thin — fish respond to the whole weather change, not just the needle. Weather: National Weather Service; barometer forecast: Data from MET Norway; lake levels: TWDB; water temperature: USGS where measured. How ratings work